Question

Will the first extraterrestrial life-forms we encounter be carbon-based?

46 comments46

Total Forecasters239

Community Prediction83% (75% - 95%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 83%

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Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Hypothetical types of biochemistry

Mirror bacteria may constitute ‘radical departure from known life,’ scientists warn

CNN•Dec 17, 2024

Dark comets, a cross between asteroids and comets, may be common in our solar system

CNN•Dec 18, 2024

Earth Life Found inside Ryugu Asteroid Samples

Scientific American•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?

25%

If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?

When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?

2078-03-09

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Hypothetical types of biochemistry

Mirror bacteria may constitute ‘radical departure from known life,’ scientists warn

CNN•Dec 17, 2024

Dark comets, a cross between asteroids and comets, may be common in our solar system

CNN•Dec 18, 2024

Earth Life Found inside Ryugu Asteroid Samples

Scientific American•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?

25%

If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?

When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?

2078-03-09