Question

[PRACTICE] Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

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Total Forecasters12

Community Prediction5% (2% - 10%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Jan 17, 2025

Closed:

Jan 17, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 12, 2025

Question Weight:0%

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Transitioning Into Deep Old Age: The Good News and the Bad

Psychology Today•Jan 27, 2025

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

28%

When will the first person reach 150 years of age?

2140-09-20

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Jan 17, 2025

Closed:

Jan 17, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 12, 2025

Question Weight:0%

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Transitioning Into Deep Old Age: The Good News and the Bad

Psychology Today•Jan 27, 2025

‘Don’t die’: Who is Bryan Johnson, the millionaire biohacker behind Netflix’s new immortality documentary?

Independent•Jan 27, 2025

Using AI to Predict Health and Longevity

Psychology Today•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

28%

When will the first person reach 150 years of age?

2140-09-20

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

50%