Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?

Resolved :No30%
7
5
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction30% (20% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 30%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-8.4
Community Peer Score
49.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Greg
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
2016 Leaderboard
Cisco Systems
WikiLeaks
Edward Snowden
National Security Agency
Equation Group
The Shadow Brokers
Democratic National Committee cyber attacks

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