Question

[PRACTICE] How much global warming by 2100?

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Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction2.7 (2.07 - 3.4)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>10

...

5.0%

2.066

2.701

3.399

5.0%

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Jan 19, 2025

Closed:

Jan 19, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 14, 2025

Question Weight:0%

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Relentless warming is driving the water cycle to new extremes, the 2024 global water report shows

The Conversation•Jan 26, 2025

The cities that will be 'submerged by global warming': Sea levels could rise by up to 6.2 FEET by 2100, warn scientists - so, is your hometown at risk?

Daily Mail•Jan 27, 2025

Terrifying study predicts exactly how many people will DIE from climate change by 2099

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Jan 19, 2025

Closed:

Jan 19, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 14, 2025

Question Weight:0%

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Relentless warming is driving the water cycle to new extremes, the 2024 global water report shows

The Conversation•Jan 26, 2025

The cities that will be 'submerged by global warming': Sea levels could rise by up to 6.2 FEET by 2100, warn scientists - so, is your hometown at risk?

Daily Mail•Jan 27, 2025

Terrifying study predicts exactly how many people will DIE from climate change by 2099

Daily Mail•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How much global warming by 2100?

2.98

When will be the first year that the 2˚C climate threshold is crossed?

2044-12-23

Will there be at least 2˚C of global warming by 2100?

97%