Question

[PRACTICE] Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

-1

no comments0

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction

20%

(15% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Jan 19, 2025

Closed:

Jan 19, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 15, 2025

Question Weight:0%

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

China boosts its defence spending by 7% after threatening US with 'any war' amid Trump's tariff roll-out... so how do the two superpowers' armed forces measure up?

Daily Mail•Mar 7, 2025

China Slams U.S. Tariffs, Says Ready for ‘War’

Time•Mar 7, 2025

China has a message for Trump: the US won’t stop its rise

CNN•Mar 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

13%

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

50%

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

15%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Jan 19, 2025

Closed:

Jan 19, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 15, 2025

Question Weight:0%

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

China boosts its defence spending by 7% after threatening US with 'any war' amid Trump's tariff roll-out... so how do the two superpowers' armed forces measure up?

Daily Mail•Mar 7, 2025

China Slams U.S. Tariffs, Says Ready for ‘War’

Time•Mar 7, 2025

China has a message for Trump: the US won’t stop its rise

CNN•Mar 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

13%

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

50%

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

15%