Question

[PRACTICE] Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

-1

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Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction

20%

(15% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Jan 19, 2025

Closed:

Jan 19, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 15, 2025

Question Weight:0%

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

US Think Tank Issues Update on China's Nuclear Weapons Arsenal

Newsweek•Mar 18, 2025

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•Mar 15, 2025

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Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

13%

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

50%

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

15%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Jan 19, 2025

Closed:

Jan 19, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 15, 2025

Question Weight:0%

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

US Think Tank Issues Update on China's Nuclear Weapons Arsenal

Newsweek•Mar 18, 2025

The war in Ukraine is influencing how Taiwanese think about conflict

•Mar 15, 2025

One Way or the Other: Is Trump Driving Us Down the Road to War?

CounterPunch•Mar 14, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

13%

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

50%

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

15%

MetaculusM

[PRACTICE] Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

Comments

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

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