Question

Will we find another inhabitable planet by 2040?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters5

Community Prediction4% (2% - 10%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4%

Authors:

EdwardStoppard

Opened:

Jan 30, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 10, 2040

Natural Sciences

Space

Will Humans Be Living in Space in the Next 50 Years?

•Mar 2, 2025

Is Pluto A Planet? It’s A Double-Act, Scientists Say

Forbes•Mar 3, 2025

Astronomers Trace Mysterious Signal to Destroyed Planet

Newsweek•Mar 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

18%

Will we detect an exoplanet atmosphere with >5% oxygen atmosphere before 2030?

60%

Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?

48%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

EdwardStoppard

Opened:

Jan 30, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 10, 2040

Natural Sciences

Space

Will Humans Be Living in Space in the Next 50 Years?

•Mar 2, 2025

Is Pluto A Planet? It’s A Double-Act, Scientists Say

Forbes•Mar 3, 2025

Astronomers Trace Mysterious Signal to Destroyed Planet

Newsweek•Mar 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

18%

Will we detect an exoplanet atmosphere with >5% oxygen atmosphere before 2030?

60%

Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?

48%