Question

Will we find another inhabitable planet by 2040?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters0

Community PredictionRevealed

in 3 days

Make a Prediction

50%

Authors:

EdwardStoppard

Opened:

Jan 30, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 10, 2040

Natural Sciences

Space

Huge breakthrough in the search for aliens: NASA discovers a 'super Earth' exoplanet just 20 light-years away that could have the right conditions to support life

Daily Mail•Jan 28, 2025

Scientists discover nearby ‘super-Earth’ that could sustain life: ‘There is hope for the future’

New York Post•Jan 28, 2025

Scientists discover ‘super-Earth’ planet that could be suitable for life

Independent•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

20%

Will we detect an exoplanet atmosphere with >5% oxygen atmosphere before 2030?

60%

Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?

48%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

EdwardStoppard

Opened:

Jan 30, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 10, 2040

Natural Sciences

Space

Huge breakthrough in the search for aliens: NASA discovers a 'super Earth' exoplanet just 20 light-years away that could have the right conditions to support life

Daily Mail•Jan 28, 2025

Scientists discover nearby ‘super-Earth’ that could sustain life: ‘There is hope for the future’

New York Post•Jan 28, 2025

Scientists discover ‘super-Earth’ planet that could be suitable for life

Independent•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

20%

Will we detect an exoplanet atmosphere with >5% oxygen atmosphere before 2030?

60%

Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?

48%