M

Question

What percentage of AI alignment experts surveyed in 2029 will consider alignment techniques at the time to be sufficient?

Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction23.6 (15.3 - 34)

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CDF

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
15.29
23.59
33.97
Authors:
Opened:Jan 23, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2030

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