Question
What percentage of AI alignment experts surveyed in 2029 will consider alignment techniques at the time to be sufficient?
Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction29.8 (17.9 - 49.7)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 17.95 | — |
| median | 29.83 | — |
| upper 75% | 49.66 | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jan 23, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2030
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 23, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2030
