Question

Will any AI system beat a team of human pros in a forecasting tournament before 2030?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction88% (78% - 95%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 88%

Authors:

sandman

Opened:

Jan 23, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 15, 2030

AGI Readiness Index

Artificial Intelligence

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Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

23%

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