Group

Will Hans Niemann become World Chess Champion in the following categories before 2050?

4 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

blitz

rapid

classical

Make a Prediction

Time control		My Prediction		Me
blitz	74.95%

rapid	59.95%

classical	3.8%

Authors:

Aithir

Opened:

Feb 18, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Sports & Entertainment

Checkmate? Magnus Carlsen calls on international chess president to quit

Guardian•Feb 15, 2025

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New York Times•Feb 16, 2025

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Comments

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Authors:

Aithir

Opened:

Feb 18, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Sports & Entertainment

Checkmate? Magnus Carlsen calls on international chess president to quit

Guardian•Feb 15, 2025

Gukesh Dommaraju, 18, becomes youngest chess world champion in history

New York Times•Feb 16, 2025

Teen chess prodigy Gukesh Dommaraju becomes youngest world champion: "I did not really expect to win"

CBS•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Levy Rozman become a chess Grandmaster before 2030?

25%

Who will be the next #1 FIDE-ranked chess player?

Will Ju Wenjun win the Women's World Chess Championship 2025?

66%