Question
What will be the difference between the Arena Score of o3 and the next best model on Chatbot Arena, on April 5, 2025?
Total Forecasters88
Community Prediction-30 (-30 - -24.3)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-30 | 67.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | <-30 | — |
| median | <-30 | — |
| upper 75% | -24.29 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30 | 2.2% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jan 24, 2025
Closes:Mar 15, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Apr 5, 2025
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 24, 2025
Closes:Mar 15, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Apr 5, 2025
