Question

Will SpaceX test a stainless-steel prototype Starship by February 1?

Resolved :No

18 comments18

Total Forecasters120

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-12.6

Community Peer Score

58.7

median 1.0%mean 3.8%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

SpaceX reusable launch system

Elon Musk

SpaceX

Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?

When will the sixth Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff?

2024-11-19

Will SpaceX re-use a Starship booster before October 1, 2025?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

SpaceX reusable launch system

Elon Musk

SpaceX

SpaceX targets Starship flight next week – just a month after last one

New Scientist•Nov 12, 2024

Elon Musk’s SpaceX is trying for second successful ‘Mechazilla’ rocket catch with new Starship launch

New York Post•Nov 14, 2024

Starship launch flight 6: When is Elon Musk’s SpaceX flight test?

New Scientist•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?

When will the sixth Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff?

2024-11-19

Will SpaceX re-use a Starship booster before October 1, 2025?

80%