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What will the upper limit in the IPCC's ‘likely’ range of its climate sensitivity estimate be, in its 6th Assessment Report?

Resolved :44.43

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Community Prediction4.43 (3.98 - 4.66)

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3.976

4.433

4.66

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Tamay

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What will be the IPCC's best estimate of the transient climate response in 2100?

1.9

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

20%

What will the product of the global mean temperature anomaly with the IPCC's best estimate of TCR be in 2100?

3.91

Comments

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Environment & Climate

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Environmental science

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Physics

World Court Judges Pose Additional Questions In Climate Change Opinion

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Climate inaction puts lives on the line: WMO

•Dec 17, 2024

Biden set an ambitious new climate goal. Will it still matter under Trump?

NPR Online News•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the IPCC's best estimate of the transient climate response in 2100?

1.9

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

20%

What will the product of the global mean temperature anomaly with the IPCC's best estimate of TCR be in 2100?

3.91

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What will the upper limit in the IPCC's ‘likely’ range of its climate sensitivity estimate be, in its 6th Assessment Report?

Make a Prediction

What will be the IPCC's best estimate of the transient climate response in 2100?

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

What will the product of the global mean temperature anomaly with the IPCC's best estimate of TCR be in 2100?

Comments

What will be the IPCC's best estimate of the transient climate response in 2100?

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

What will the product of the global mean temperature anomaly with the IPCC's best estimate of TCR be in 2100?

What will be the IPCC's best estimate of the transient climate response in 2100?

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

What will the product of the global mean temperature anomaly with the IPCC's best estimate of TCR be in 2100?

What will be the IPCC's best estimate of the transient climate response in 2100?

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

What will the product of the global mean temperature anomaly with the IPCC's best estimate of TCR be in 2100?