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Will lossless compression fail to be accepted as a macrosociology model selection criterion?

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jabowery

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Before January 1, 2026, what will be the highest compression factor achieved for the Hutter Prize?

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Authors:

jabowery

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Gregory Chaitin

Ray Solomonoff

Andrey Kolmogorov

Algorithmic probability

Nature Machine Intelligence

Philosophy

Hutter Prize

Social Sciences Citation Index

Artificial general intelligence

The Rise and Demise of Calhoun's Utopia: Mouse Universe 25

Psychology Today•Dec 21, 2024

Political Repression Isn’t What It Used to Be

Jacobin•Dec 21, 2024

Why Is Rightsizing Such A Challenge For Higher Ed?

Forbes•Dec 22, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before January 1, 2026, what will be the highest compression factor achieved for the Hutter Prize?

Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?

20%

Will high-impact research on reducing the sample complexity of Large Language Model pretraining be forthcoming before 2026?

65%

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Will lossless compression fail to be accepted as a macrosociology model selection criterion?

Make a Prediction

Before January 1, 2026, what will be the highest compression factor achieved for the Hutter Prize?

Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?

Will high-impact research on reducing the sample complexity of Large Language Model pretraining be forthcoming before 2026?

Comments

Before January 1, 2026, what will be the highest compression factor achieved for the Hutter Prize?

Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?

Will high-impact research on reducing the sample complexity of Large Language Model pretraining be forthcoming before 2026?

Before January 1, 2026, what will be the highest compression factor achieved for the Hutter Prize?

Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?

Will high-impact research on reducing the sample complexity of Large Language Model pretraining be forthcoming before 2026?

Before January 1, 2026, what will be the highest compression factor achieved for the Hutter Prize?

Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?

Will high-impact research on reducing the sample complexity of Large Language Model pretraining be forthcoming before 2026?