Question

All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?

Resolved :No19%

14 comments14

Total Forecasters103

Community Prediction19% (8% - 33%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 19%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

39.7

Community Peer Score

47.6

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Sep 11, 2016

Closes:

Sep 15, 2017

Resolves:

Jan 3, 2021

Health & Pandemics

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

World Health Organization

Ophthalmology

Genetics

Hidden signs of cataracts no-one can afford to ignore as cases of sight-robbing disease rise in under 50s - after Goldie Hawn's comments at the Academy Awards

Daily Mail•Mar 3, 2025

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Business Insider•Mar 4, 2025

More than half of adults worldwide will be overweight or obese by 2050 – report

Guardian•Mar 4, 2025

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How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?

1.29

What percentage of the US population will have been diagnosed with myopia/nearsightedness in 2050?

57.2

How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?

1.74

Comments

? comments

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Sep 11, 2016

Closes:

Sep 15, 2017

Resolves:

Jan 3, 2021

Health & Pandemics

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

World Health Organization

Ophthalmology

Genetics

Hidden signs of cataracts no-one can afford to ignore as cases of sight-robbing disease rise in under 50s - after Goldie Hawn's comments at the Academy Awards

Daily Mail•Mar 3, 2025

Six trends shaping the future of eye care in 2025

Business Insider•Mar 4, 2025

More than half of adults worldwide will be overweight or obese by 2050 – report

Guardian•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?

1.29

What percentage of the US population will have been diagnosed with myopia/nearsightedness in 2050?

57.2

How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?

1.74

MetaculusM

All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?

Make a Prediction

How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?

What percentage of the US population will have been diagnosed with myopia/nearsightedness in 2050?

How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?

Comments

How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?

What percentage of the US population will have been diagnosed with myopia/nearsightedness in 2050?

How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?

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