Question

Will Robert Caro's fifth and final volume of his Lyndon Johnson biography be published during his lifetime?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction48%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 48%

median 48.0%mean 47.9%

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Sports & Entertainment

Amazon (company)

Robert Caro

The Years of Lyndon Johnson

Lyndon B. Johnson

Vietnam

Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?

38%

When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?

2032-12-15

Will it be confirmed that Lee Harvey Oswald acted with co-conspirators in the assassination of President Kennedy before November 23, 2063?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Sports & Entertainment

Amazon (company)

Robert Caro

The Years of Lyndon Johnson

Lyndon B. Johnson

Vietnam

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?

38%

When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?

2032-12-15

Will it be confirmed that Lee Harvey Oswald acted with co-conspirators in the assassination of President Kennedy before November 23, 2063?

10%