Question

Will Israel be the fourth country to soft-land a spacecraft on the Moon, if they do so before 2026?

Resolved :No28%

20 comments20

Total Forecasters125

Community Prediction28% (3% - 33%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 28%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

26.4

Community Peer Score

8.6

Authors:

datscilly

Opened:

Oct 29, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2026

Space

Technology

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Indian Space Research Organisation

Private U.S. company set for second Moon landing attempt

Raw Story•Feb 26, 2025

Why 3 private space missions are on their way to the moon right now

Business Insider•Feb 27, 2025

Why 3 private space missions are on their way to the moon right now

Business Insider•Feb 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

datscilly

Opened:

Oct 29, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2026

Space

Technology

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Indian Space Research Organisation

Private U.S. company set for second Moon landing attempt

Raw Story•Feb 26, 2025

Why 3 private space missions are on their way to the moon right now

Business Insider•Feb 27, 2025

Why 3 private space missions are on their way to the moon right now

Business Insider•Feb 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will two or more spacecraft land on the Moon in 2025?

86%

How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?

5.73

Will India have a successful crewed moon landing before 2027?

0.1%