Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the Brexit Party win any seats at the next UK General Election?

Resolved :No5%
10
41
Total Forecasters50
Community Prediction5% (1% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
1.7
Community Peer Score
1.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
James
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Elections in the United Kingdom
UK general election
Brexit Party
Nigel Farage
UK Independence Party
United Kingdom

Comments

? comments