Question

How many Starlink satellites will be in operation on the 1st of July 2020?

Resolved :538516

24 comments24

Total Forecasters80

Community Prediction516 (341 - 751)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>12k

...

0.1%

340.9

516.3

750.6

0.2%

What was the final result?538

Community Baseline Score

82.2

Community Peer Score

15.7

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Space

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Starlink

SpaceX

Europe signs IRIS² satellite contracts to rival Starlink

•Dec 17, 2024

EU to spend nearly €11 billion for secure alternative to Musk's Starlink

•Dec 17, 2024

Here’s why the EU is spending $11B to compete with Starlink

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Space

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Starlink

SpaceX

Europe signs IRIS² satellite contracts to rival Starlink

•Dec 17, 2024

EU to spend nearly €11 billion for secure alternative to Musk's Starlink

•Dec 17, 2024

Here’s why the EU is spending $11B to compete with Starlink

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many Starlink satellites will be in operation on January 1, 2028?

11.1k

What will be the number of operational satellites in each year?

10k

What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years?

3.53k