Question

By November 2nd, 2020, will 80% or fewer people be employed by DeepMind than the 836 employed today?

Resolved :No1%

15 comments15

Total Forecasters174

Community Prediction1% (1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

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82.7

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4.6

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Foresight 2020 Contest

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Alphabet

DeepMind

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Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

67%

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Foresight 2020 Contest

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Alphabet

DeepMind

Microsoft AI CEO Mustafa Suleyman Is in a Talent War With His Former Companies

Observer (NY)•Dec 13, 2024

A comprehensive list of 2024 tech layoffs

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

A comprehensive list of 2024 tech layoffs

TechCrunch•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

67%

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By November 2nd, 2020, will 80% or fewer people be employed by DeepMind than the 836 employed today?

Make a Prediction

Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Comments

Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?