Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many seats will the Conservative and Unionist Party win in the next UK general election?

Resolved :365349
4
19
Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction349 (317 - 381)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
317.2
349.5
381.3

What was the final result?365

Community Baseline Score
69.5
Community Peer Score
16.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2019 Leaderboard
House of Commons of the UK
UK general election
Conservative Party (UK)
United Kingdom

Comments

? comments