Question

How many seats will the Labour and Co-operative Parties win in the next UK general election?

Resolved :203

26 comments26

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction211

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

180.4

211.2

241.6

What was the final result?203

Community Baseline Score

83.4

Community Peer Score

11.9

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

129

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

70%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Labour lead slashed to one point

Spectator (UK)•Oct 8, 2024

Labour’s workers’ rights plans can win over Tory and Reform voters, says TUC

Guardian•Oct 9, 2024

For Labour voters, the Greens are now more popular than Labour itself

Canary•Oct 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

129

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

70%