Question

How many seats will the Labour and Co-operative Parties win in the next UK general election?

Resolved :203211

26 comments26

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction211 (180 - 242)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

180.4

211.2

241.6

What was the final result?203

Community Baseline Score

83.4

Community Peer Score

11.9

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Labour seems to be flailing, but keep faith: Starmer’s long-term plans are both radical and sound | Polly Toynbee

Guardian•Dec 17, 2024

Starmer should not be the fall guy for Labour’s failures. This disaster was written by committee | Owen Jones

Guardian•Dec 20, 2024

Lib Dems could force Commons vote on Waspi compensation, says Cooper

Guardian•Dec 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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129

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

70%

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