Question

Will the US-China trade war still be ongoing by November 2nd, 2020?

Resolved :No

34 comments34

Total Forecasters187

Community Prediction69%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 69%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-27.3

Community Peer Score

17.4

median 69.0%mean 66.8%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Foresight 2020 Contest

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

12%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Foresight 2020 Contest

China Says No One Will Win A Trade War After Trump Tariff Announcement—Asian Stocks Hit

Forbes•Nov 26, 2024

China is armed and ready for trade war 2.0 with Donald Trump

CNN•Nov 23, 2024

China Braces for New Era as Biden Makes Last Stand With Xi

Newsweek•Nov 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

12%