Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

By November 2020 will a prediction made by a prediction aggregation platform be quoted in the NYT or WaPo on an issue not in politics, sports, or prizes?

Resolved :No40%
21
37
Total Forecasters156
Community Prediction40% (33% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-9.4
Community Peer Score
6.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Foresight 2020 Contest
Metaculus
2016-2020 Leaderboard
The New York Times
Prediction market
The Washington Post
The Good Judgment Project
PredictIt

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