Question

How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters116

Community Prediction54.9 (5.28 - 1.53k)

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5.28

54.85

1.53k

4.1%

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Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

What is gene drive and how could it help in the fight against malaria?

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Alabama woman receives gene-edited pig kidney transplant in experimental surgery

NBC•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

7.92

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

What is gene drive and how could it help in the fight against malaria?

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Alabama woman receives gene-edited pig kidney transplant in experimental surgery

NBC•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

7.92

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

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How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

Make a Prediction

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Comments

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?