Question

How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters117

Community Prediction54.9

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1M

...

5.45

54.9

4.0%

Authors:

Pablo

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Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Babies born via IVF are more likely to have a heart defect: study

New York Post•Oct 2, 2024

China: Woman with rare double uterus gives birth to twins

CNN•Oct 2, 2024

Las Vegas family was torn apart after teenage girl born via IVF took DNA test

Daily Mail•Oct 2, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55%

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How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

Make a Prediction

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Comments

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?