Question

When will Hong Kong stop being a Special Administrative Region of China?

23 comments23

Total Forecasters76

Community Prediction2046-12-31 (2036-12-01 - 2049-02-05)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2070-01-01

...

2036-12-01 15:59

2046-12-31 07:38

2049-02-05 01:05

3.9%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Special administrative regions of China

The free world has abandoned Hong Kong

Spectator (UK)•Dec 19, 2024

Negroni inflation is out of control

Spectator (UK)•Dec 13, 2024

2 men deny charges of helping Hong Kong gather intelligence in UK

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any current provincial level administrative divisions of China formally declare independence from China before 2050?

38%

When will China legalise same-sex marriage?

2043-01-12

When will North Korea become a democracy?

2075-04-27

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Special administrative regions of China

The free world has abandoned Hong Kong

Spectator (UK)•Dec 19, 2024

Negroni inflation is out of control

Spectator (UK)•Dec 13, 2024

2 men deny charges of helping Hong Kong gather intelligence in UK

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any current provincial level administrative divisions of China formally declare independence from China before 2050?

38%

When will China legalise same-sex marriage?

2043-01-12

When will North Korea become a democracy?

2075-04-27

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When will Hong Kong stop being a Special Administrative Region of China?

Make a Prediction

Will any current provincial level administrative divisions of China formally declare independence from China before 2050?

When will China legalise same-sex marriage?

When will North Korea become a democracy?

Comments

Will any current provincial level administrative divisions of China formally declare independence from China before 2050?

When will China legalise same-sex marriage?

When will North Korea become a democracy?

Will any current provincial level administrative divisions of China formally declare independence from China before 2050?

When will China legalise same-sex marriage?

When will North Korea become a democracy?

Will any current provincial level administrative divisions of China formally declare independence from China before 2050?

When will China legalise same-sex marriage?

When will North Korea become a democracy?