M

Question

How large will the largest single grant made by Open Philanthropy in 2020 be?

Resolved :33.9M34M
Total Forecasters76
Community Prediction34M (33.6M - 34.3M)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<20M0.2%
Quartiles
lower 25%33.64M
median33.96M
upper 75%34.31M
Upper bound
>60M1.1%

What was the final result?33.9M

Community Baseline Score
82.5
Community Peer Score
45.5
Authors:
Opened:Nov 20, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2020
Resolves:Dec 31, 2020

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