Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?

20
11
Total Forecasters51
Community Prediction2032-07-05 (2029-04-19 - 2037-07-10)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2039-12-30
...
...
...
...
2029-04-19 03:10
2032-07-05 00:27
2037-07-10 08:27
17.1%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AABoyles
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Health & Pandemics
Infectious disease
Polio eradication
Public health
Medicine
World Health Organization
Virology
Poliovirus
Nigeria
Microbiology
Epidemiology

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