Question

Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?

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Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction47.2%

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50%

community: 47.2%

median 47.2%mean 47.2%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Information technology

Electrical engineering

TOP500

Software engineering

MOSFET

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What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their June 2030 list?

51.6

What will be the sum of the performance (in exaFLOPS) of the top 500 supercomputers in the following dates?

20.9

What will be the speed (in FLOPS) of the fastest supercomputer on record in the following years?

3×10¹⁸

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Information technology

Electrical engineering

TOP500

Software engineering

MOSFET

OpenAI is reportedly struggling to improve its next big AI model. It's a warning for the entire AI industry.

Business Insider•Nov 12, 2024

Line go up.

Verge•Nov 13, 2024

Nearly half of AI data centers may not have enough power by 2027

TechCrunch•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their June 2030 list?

51.6

What will be the sum of the performance (in exaFLOPS) of the top 500 supercomputers in the following dates?

20.9

What will be the speed (in FLOPS) of the fastest supercomputer on record in the following years?

3×10¹⁸