Question

World population forecast to peak before 2100?

Resolved :No52%

6 comments6

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction52% (35% - 63%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 52%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-7.9

Community Peer Score

40.4

Authors:

traviswfisher

Opened:

Sep 22, 2016

Closes:

Jan 1, 2017

Resolves:

Jun 22, 2017

Social Sciences

2016-2017 Leaderboard

United Nations

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Projections of population growth

More than half of adults worldwide will be overweight or obese by 2050 – report

Guardian•Mar 4, 2025

Vietnam considers relaxing its long-standing two-child policy to tackle falling birth rate

Independent•Mar 4, 2025

Most adults, a third of children will be overweight or obese by 2050: Study

Al Jazeera•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the peak human population before 2100?

9.96B

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

69%

What will be the world population in the following years?

8.5B

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