Question

2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?

Resolved :No

19 comments19

Total Forecasters63

Community Prediction28%

Make a Prediction

community: 28%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

46.4

Community Peer Score

9.1

median 28.0%mean 35.8%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

How major US stock indexes fared Tuesday, 10/8/2024

Associated Press•Oct 9, 2024

How major US stock indexes fared Wednesday, 10/9/2024

Associated Press•Oct 10, 2024

How major US stock indexes fared Thursday, 10/10/2024

Associated Press•Oct 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the S&P 500 rise or fall more than 15% in a single day during the 2020s?

22%

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on November 8, 2024?

5.83k

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

80%