Question

2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?

Resolved :No28%

19 comments19

Total Forecasters63

Community Prediction28% (20% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 28%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

46.4

Community Peer Score

9.1

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Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Evercore ISI sees more S&P 500 gains next year on Trump and a bull case of 7,400

CNBC•Dec 16, 2024

How major US stock indexes fared Wednesday, 12/18/2024

Associated Press•Dec 19, 2024

Dow futures are little changed after index drops 1,100 points in 10th straight loss: Live updates

CNBC•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Evercore ISI sees more S&P 500 gains next year on Trump and a bull case of 7,400

CNBC•Dec 16, 2024

How major US stock indexes fared Wednesday, 12/18/2024

Associated Press•Dec 19, 2024

Dow futures are little changed after index drops 1,100 points in 10th straight loss: Live updates

CNBC•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the S&P 500 rise or fall more than 15% in a single day during the 2020s?

20%

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

79%

Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?

36.2%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

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2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?

Make a Prediction

Will the S&P 500 rise or fall more than 15% in a single day during the 2020s?

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?

Comments

Will the S&P 500 rise or fall more than 15% in a single day during the 2020s?

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?

Will the S&P 500 rise or fall more than 15% in a single day during the 2020s?

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?

Will the S&P 500 rise or fall more than 15% in a single day during the 2020s?

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?