Question

2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?

Resolved :No28%

19 comments19

Total Forecasters63

Community Prediction28% (20% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 28%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

46.4

Community Peer Score

9.1

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Sep 21, 2016

Closes:

Nov 1, 2016

Resolves:

Nov 10, 2016

How major US stock indexes fared Monday, 3/3/2025

Associated Press•Mar 4, 2025

Stock market today: Dow sinks 650 points, S&P 500 wipes out post-election gains as Trump trade war intensifies

•Mar 5, 2025

How major US stock indexes fared Tuesday, 3/4/2025

Associated Press•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Sep 21, 2016

Closes:

Nov 1, 2016

Resolves:

Nov 10, 2016

How major US stock indexes fared Monday, 3/3/2025

Associated Press•Mar 4, 2025

Stock market today: Dow sinks 650 points, S&P 500 wipes out post-election gains as Trump trade war intensifies

•Mar 5, 2025

How major US stock indexes fared Tuesday, 3/4/2025

Associated Press•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the S&P 500 rise or fall more than 15% in a single day during the 2020s?

18%

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

60%

Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?

36.2%

MetaculusM

2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?

Make a Prediction

Will the S&P 500 rise or fall more than 15% in a single day during the 2020s?

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?

Comments

Will the S&P 500 rise or fall more than 15% in a single day during the 2020s?

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?

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