Question

What will the earliest preservation date of any resuscitated cryonics patient be?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters52

Community Prediction2061-05

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2099-12

...

2035-10

2061-05

2099-12

26.2%

Authors:

pranomostro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Technology

Gerontology

Ethics

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

50%

When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded, if this occurs by year 2200?

2092-06

Comments

? comments

Authors:

pranomostro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Technology

Gerontology

Ethics

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

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Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

50%

When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded, if this occurs by year 2200?

2092-06

MetaculusM

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What will the earliest preservation date of any resuscitated cryonics patient be?

Make a Prediction

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded, if this occurs by year 2200?

Comments

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded, if this occurs by year 2200?

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded, if this occurs by year 2200?

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded, if this occurs by year 2200?