Question

What will the earliest preservation date of any resuscitated cryonics patient be?

Total Forecasters51

Community Prediction2061-12-26 (2036-07-02 - 2099-12-01)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2099-12-01
community	2036	2061	>2099	27.2%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	2036	—
median	2061	—
upper 75%	>2099	—
Upper bound
>2099-12-01	27.2%	—

Authors:

pranomostro

Opened:

Dec 1, 2019

Closes:

Jan 11, 2053

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 10, 2200

Technology

Gerontology

Ethics

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Biotechnology

Medicine

Cryonics

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Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

50%

When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded, if this occurs by year 2200?

2093-12-14

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