Question

Will US consumers be unable to purchase the Cavendish banana at major US grocery chains on December 31, 2029?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters57

Community Prediction15% (10% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Nov 28, 2019

Closes:

Mar 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2029

Economy & Business

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Cavendish banana

Agriculture

Biology

Fusarium oxysporum f.sp. cubense

Plant pathology

Bioversity International

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Guardian•Feb 13, 2025

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Will the Cavendish account for less than 50% of banana exports worldwide before 2035?

48%

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31.2%

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