Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will DNA testing vindicate Jeanne Calment as the oldest recorded person in history?

19
23
Total Forecasters81
Community Prediction44% (30.8% - 57%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 44%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Pablo
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Social Sciences
Jeanne Calment
Peoples' Friendship University of Russia
ResearchGate
Rejuvenation Research
Jean-Marie Robine
Institut national d'études démographiques
Fondation Jean Dausset-CEPH
Aubrey de Grey
Genetic testing
Biology

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