Question

Will our global atmospheric CO₂ concentration over the 2020 to 2023 period be on path to limit warming to 1.4°C by mid-century?

Resolved :No

9 comments9

Total Forecasters102

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

87.4

Community Peer Score

7.4

median 1.0%mean 3.4%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Environment & Climate

Physics

Atmospheric science

Representative Concentration Pathway

Climatology

Environmental science

Climate change denial

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Earth System Research Laboratory

Will the average global CO₂ atmospheric concentration be less than 423.89 PPM over the 2024 to 2027 period (inclusive)?

20%

Will the average global CO₂ atmospheric concentration be less than 433.19 ppm over the 2024 to 2027 period?

34%

What will the atmospheric CO2 concentration be in 2030?

436

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