Question

Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on February 28, 2025?

no comments0

Total Forecasters24

Community Prediction54% (50% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 54%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Jan 27, 2025

Closed:

Jan 27, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 28, 2025

Question Weight:50%

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

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Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

40%

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

0.4%

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Jan 27, 2025

Closed:

Jan 27, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 28, 2025

Question Weight:50%

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Kursk Maps Show Ukraine's Shock New Incursions Into Russia

Newsweek•Jan 26, 2025

Ukraine-Russia war map 2025: Where are Putin’s forces making gains on the frontline?

Independent•Jan 27, 2025

Ukraine on the Verge of Defeat

Lew Rockwell•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

40%

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

0.4%

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%