M

Question

Will 100 kilotonnes of sulphur be injected into the atmosphere, as part of a single geoengineering effort, before 2024?

Resolved :No0.4%
Total Forecasters141
Community Prediction0.4% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
93.9
Community Peer Score
5.8
Authors:
Opened:Dec 23, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024

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