Question

Will 100 kilotonnes of sulphur be injected into the atmosphere, as part of a single geoengineering effort, before 2024?

Resolved :No

8 comments8

Total Forecasters141

Community Prediction0.4%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

93.9

Community Peer Score

5.8

median 0.4%mean 1.5%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Environment & Climate

Engineering

Atmospheric science

Environmental science

Fellow of the Royal Society

1991 eruption of Mount Pinatubo

Stratospheric aerosol injection

Cloud condensation nuclei

Climate engineering

Physics

Climatology

Will the International Maritime Organization permit more sulphur oxide pollution by 2030?

14.7%

Will 0.5 Gt of atmospheric CO2 be removed annually using enhanced rock weathering before 2040?

22%

Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026?

4.7%

Comments

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