Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the Conservative Party form the first government after the next UK general election?

28
90
Total Forecasters277
Community Prediction10% (5% - 16%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 10%
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
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Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Elections
Politics
2016-2025 Leaderboard
House of Commons of the UK
2019 United Kingdom general election
Conservative Party (UK)
United Kingdom

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