🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the Democratic candidate for the 2020 US presidential election be chosen at the Democratic National Convention after only one round of voting?

Resolved :Yes65%
5
10
Total Forecasters70
Community Prediction65% (57% - 72%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 65%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
61.2
Community Peer Score
-0.3
Authors:
Wineclaw
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2020 Leaderboard
Wisconsin
Super Tuesday
Democratic Party (US)
2020 Democratic National Convention
Fiserv Forum
Milwaukee

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