Question
How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?
Resolved :57.7k60kTotal Forecasters955
Community Prediction60k (60k - 60k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<60k | 83.9% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | <60k | — |
median | <60k | — |
upper 75% | <60k | — |
Upper bound | ||
>100k | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?57.7k
Community Baseline Score
118.5
Community Peer Score
107.0
Authors:
Opened:Jan 30, 2025
Closes:Mar 3, 2025
Resolves:Mar 4, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 30, 2025
Closes:Mar 3, 2025
Resolves:Mar 4, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch