Question

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

50 comments50

Total Forecasters273

Community Prediction

58%

(40% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 58%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Jan 12, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 12, 2020

Strategies for Engineered Negligible Senescence

FOX News•Mar 22, 2025

There's a $1 trillion opportunity brewing in the stock market — and it's got nothing to do with AI

Business Insider•Mar 22, 2025

Scientists find clue to slowing Alzheimer’s symptoms — but research is caught up in Trump funding delays

New York Post•Mar 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

30%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

65%

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Jan 12, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 12, 2020

Strategies for Engineered Negligible Senescence

FOX News•Mar 22, 2025

There's a $1 trillion opportunity brewing in the stock market — and it's got nothing to do with AI

Business Insider•Mar 22, 2025

Scientists find clue to slowing Alzheimer’s symptoms — but research is caught up in Trump funding delays

New York Post•Mar 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

30%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

65%

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

60%