Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will there be a US-Iran war in 2020?

Resolved :No1%
35
67
Total Forecasters265
Community Prediction1% (1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
94.6
Community Peer Score
11.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
CredibleHulk
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
Politics
2020 Leaderboard
Iran
Qasem Soleimani
President of the US
US Congress
United States
Donald Trump

Comments

? comments