Question
What will be the difference between the Arena Score of o3 and the next best model on Chatbot Arena, on April 5, 2025?
Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction19.2 (-4.7 - 30)
Make a Prediction
CDF
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-30 | 12.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | -4.7 | — |
| median | 19.16 | — |
| upper 75% | >30 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30 | 38.5% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Feb 3, 2025
Closed:Feb 3, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Apr 5, 2025
Include Bots:Yes
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 3, 2025
Closed:Feb 3, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Apr 5, 2025
Include Bots:Yes
