Question
When will Queen Elizabeth II cease to be Queen of the United Kingdom?
Resolved :Sep 8, 20222022-09-28Total Forecasters310
Community Prediction2022-09-28 (2022-08-19 - 2022-11-29)
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CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | Aug 2022 | — |
median | Sep 2022 | — |
upper 75% | Nov 2022 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2030-01-01 | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?Sep 8, 2022
Community Baseline Score
10.2
Community Peer Score
4.1
Authors:
Opened:Jan 13, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Resolves:Jan 1, 2030
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 13, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Resolves:Jan 1, 2030