Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2020 presidential election?

Resolved :306319
21
45
Total Forecasters135
Community Prediction319 (276 - 364)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
276
319
363.5

What was the final result?306

Community Baseline Score
54.4
Community Peer Score
14.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2020 Leaderboard
1984 United States presidential election
Democratic Party (US)
1936 United States presidential election
President of the US
US Electoral College
Walter Mondale
US Congress
Franklin D. Roosevelt

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