Question
How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 424
Make a Prediction
| Cases | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
67 | 0.1% | |||
68 to 70 | 10.1% | |||
71 to 75 | 35.4% | |||
76 to 85 | 33.8% | |||
86 to 100 | 14.5% | |||
101 to 150 | 5% | |||
151 or greater | 1% | |||
Total: ?
(? remaining)Authors:
Opened:Feb 10, 2025
Closes:Mar 23, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Mar 31, 2025
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
187
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
7%
If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
0.943
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Feb 10, 2025
Closes:Mar 23, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Mar 31, 2025
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
187
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
7%
If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
0.943