Question

Will California have a wildfire among the 10 most destructive in state history in 2020?

Resolved :Yes

34 comments34

Total Forecasters99

Community Prediction95%

Make a Prediction

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

6.1

Community Peer Score

2.7

median 95.0%mean 91.1%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Future Perfect 2020 Series

Environment & Climate

Ventura, California

Santa Barbara, California

California

Camp Fire (2018)

Thomas Fire

Will wildfires destroy a total exceeding 10Mha of global tree cover in any year, before 2031?

50%

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

55%

How many Flex Alerts will be issued in California in 2024?

3.62e-1

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Future Perfect 2020 Series

Environment & Climate

Ventura, California

Santa Barbara, California

California

Camp Fire (2018)

Thomas Fire

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Will wildfires destroy a total exceeding 10Mha of global tree cover in any year, before 2031?

50%

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

55%

How many Flex Alerts will be issued in California in 2024?

3.62e-1