Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030?
906
452 comments
452
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
4236
Community Prediction
1% (0.1% - 3%)
Make a Prediction
50%
community: 1%
Sign Up to Predict
Learn more about scores
here
.
Background Info
Histogram
Authors:
Greg
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Technology
The Mars Project
Wernher von Braun
SpaceX reusable launch system
Elon Musk
SpaceX Mars transportation infrastructure
Colonization of Mars
SpaceX
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
Log in
? comments
recent
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
Greg
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Technology
The Mars Project
Wernher von Braun
SpaceX reusable launch system
Elon Musk
SpaceX Mars transportation infrastructure
Colonization of Mars
SpaceX
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
Outgoing NASA leader Bill Nelson weighs in on Elon Musk and SpaceX, defends plans for moon rocket
CBS
•
Dec 19, 2024
Elon Musk moves to make Starbase, Texas, the official ‘gateway to Mars’
FOX News
•
Dec 17, 2024
SpaceX to launch more private astronaut missions to ISS
Raw Story
•
Dec 20, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
Outgoing NASA leader Bill Nelson weighs in on Elon Musk and SpaceX, defends plans for moon rocket
CBS
•
Dec 19, 2024
Elon Musk moves to make Starbase, Texas, the official ‘gateway to Mars’
FOX News
•
Dec 17, 2024
SpaceX to launch more private astronaut missions to ISS
Raw Story
•
Dec 20, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
29%
Will NASA land people on Mars prior to 2030?
1%
Will NASA return a sample of material from the surface of Mars to Earth before SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
24%
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
29%
Will NASA land people on Mars prior to 2030?
1%
Will NASA return a sample of material from the surface of Mars to Earth before SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
24%
Show More Questions